Mish’s Daily: Sugar Futures and Social/Economic Impact to Stocks

The price of sugar is exposed to many global and national influences. These include government tariffs, costs of production, climate change, and geopolitical instability. These demand and supply factors all influence movement within the market. Most sugar production occurs in a few countries across the world. The top producing countries…

At the Edge of Chaos: Why Homebuilders Have a Long-Term Advantage but Face a Short-Term Bumpy Ride

The working premise for 2023 is that, as long as the Federal Reserve continues to raise rates, stocks will struggle. In fact, there is a high level of speculation about the so-called “terminal rate,” the interest rate to which the Fed is willing to go in order to whip inflation. As…

SPY Remains Under Pressure But These Sectors Are Improving.

Relative Strength Is Losing Its Concentration Recent sector rotation shows a relative strength loss for two of the three defensive sectors. This is a move away from the trend we have seen for many months, where the defensive sectors were leading the market, sometimes even when the S&P 500 was…

The Three Key Ingredients Of Stock Portfolio Construction

I always stress the importance of combining technical and fundamental analysis. I practiced in public accounting for more than 20 years, with most of that time spent at a large, regional CPA firm in the Washington DC area. While I believe technical analysis is an absolute necessity to observe price/volume…

MEM TV: How Much Higher Can We Go?

In this episode of StockCharts TV‘s The MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the primary drivers of this week’s rally, as well as which sectors have moved into an uptrend. She then shares the next area of possible upside resistance. This video was originally broadcast on October 28, 2022. Click on the above…

Weekend Daily: Don’t Be Afraid of the Fed; The Modern Family Will Guide You

Wall Street sold off dramatically on Friday after the jobs report. While the economy is stagnating, many investors are concerned that the Fed will raise rates too quickly, pushing the U.S. economy into a deep recession. It is good to stay current on the unemployment rate and Fed policy. However, Mish’s…

At the Edge of Chaos: Elvis Has Left the Building. Selling is About to Pick Up Some Speed.

It looks as if the proverbial “Elvis has left the building” moment has finally arrived on Wall Street.  That’s because the rapidly withering market breadth is a sign that buyers are mostly gone, while the sudden resurgence of short-sellers suggests that the selling spree is about to pick up speed.…

GNG TV: US Equities Back in “NoGo” Trend

In this week’s edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler examine the weight of the evidence and use GoNoGo to react responsibly to market trends. S&P 500 trends are in NoGo conditions across weekly, daily, and intraday timeframes. US Interest rates ($TNX) decisively broke out above July resistance…

Mish’s Daily Video: Granny Retail — Can the Consumer Hang in There?

I have created another video recap for today’s Daily. The link to watch is below. The focus is on our Grandma of the Economic Modern Family — Granny Retail. I use the ETF XRT as the benchmark. XRT is the largest retail ETF, but not the only one by any…

4 Signs to Anticipate a Reversal

On this week’s edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows 4 patterns that can be helpful in looking for a reversal when a trend still appears to be in place. He shows the different patterns, along with Moving Average and MACD configuration. Since there were lots of questions about Energy,…